James Russ
Age: 28
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
5 |
77 |
90 |
16 |
38 |
36 |
3 |
56 |
52 |
6.08 |
16 |
16 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
56 |
81 |
36 |
23 |
18 |
4 |
9.00 |
| 20th |
61 |
83 |
37 |
26 |
17 |
4 |
7.97 |
| 30th |
66 |
85 |
37 |
29 |
17 |
4 |
7.36 |
| 40th |
72 |
87 |
38 |
33 |
16 |
3 |
6.50 |
| 50th |
77 |
90 |
38 |
36 |
16 |
3 |
6.08 |
| 60th |
79 |
89 |
37 |
38 |
15 |
3 |
5.70 |
| 70th |
82 |
88 |
36 |
40 |
14 |
2 |
5.05 |
| 80th |
85 |
85 |
34 |
43 |
12 |
2 |
4.55 |
| 90th |
89 |
82 |
32 |
47 |
10 |
1 |
3.74 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
77 |
89 |
38 |
39 |
17 |
3 |
6.07 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
29 |
69 |
80 |
34 |
35 |
15 |
3 |
6.08 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
30 |
62 |
73 |
31 |
31 |
14 |
3 |
6.26 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
31 |
56 |
65 |
28 |
27 |
12 |
2 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
32 |
50 |
59 |
26 |
24 |
11 |
2 |
6.27 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
33 |
45 |
53 |
24 |
21 |
10 |
2 |
6.33 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.