C.C. Sabathia
Age: 28
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 16 |
8 |
211 |
204 |
19 |
43 |
185 |
7 |
87 |
80 |
3.41 |
30 |
30 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
163 |
174 |
39 |
138 |
19 |
7 |
4.20 |
| 20th |
175 |
181 |
40 |
150 |
19 |
7 |
3.96 |
| 30th |
187 |
188 |
41 |
162 |
19 |
7 |
3.75 |
| 40th |
199 |
196 |
42 |
173 |
19 |
7 |
3.57 |
| 50th |
211 |
204 |
43 |
185 |
19 |
7 |
3.41 |
| 60th |
216 |
204 |
42 |
190 |
18 |
7 |
3.25 |
| 70th |
220 |
205 |
42 |
196 |
18 |
6 |
3.19 |
| 80th |
226 |
203 |
41 |
202 |
16 |
6 |
2.91 |
| 90th |
231 |
203 |
39 |
209 |
15 |
5 |
2.77 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 58 |
5.5 |
24.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
213 |
198 |
44 |
196 |
18 |
7 |
3.22 |
1.0 |
5.6 |
24.7 |
| 2010 |
29 |
191 |
179 |
39 |
175 |
16 |
6 |
3.24 |
1.0 |
5.0 |
24.4 |
| 2011 |
30 |
171 |
162 |
36 |
155 |
15 |
6 |
3.34 |
1.0 |
4.3 |
22.8 |
| 2012 |
31 |
154 |
146 |
33 |
137 |
13 |
5 |
3.32 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
22.9 |
| 2013 |
32 |
138 |
132 |
30 |
122 |
12 |
5 |
3.40 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
21.5 |
| 2014 |
33 |
124 |
120 |
28 |
107 |
11 |
4 |
3.47 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
20.9 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.