Baseball Projection.com

Ryan Sadowski

Age: 26 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 47 48 5 23 41 3 26 24 4.6 42 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 35 43 21 29 6 3 6.43
20th 38 44 22 32 6 3 5.92
30th 41 45 22 35 5 3 5.27
40th 44 46 23 38 5 3 4.91
50th 47 48 23 41 5 3 4.60
60th 48 48 23 43 5 3 4.50
70th 50 47 22 44 4 3 3.78
80th 52 47 21 47 4 2 3.46
90th 54 45 20 49 3 2 3.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 47 49 23 39 6 3 4.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 42 44 20 35 5 3 4.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 38 40 18 31 5 2 4.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 34 36 16 28 4 2 4.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 31 33 15 25 4 2 4.98 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 28 29 13 22 3 2 4.65 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.