Takashi Saito
Age: 39
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
2 |
46 |
40 |
3 |
15 |
45 |
2 |
17 |
16 |
3.13 |
47 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
34 |
36 |
15 |
31 |
4 |
3 |
5.03 |
| 20th |
38 |
37 |
15 |
35 |
4 |
2 |
4.26 |
| 30th |
40 |
38 |
15 |
38 |
3 |
2 |
3.83 |
| 40th |
43 |
39 |
15 |
42 |
3 |
2 |
3.56 |
| 50th |
46 |
40 |
15 |
45 |
3 |
2 |
3.13 |
| 60th |
47 |
40 |
15 |
47 |
3 |
2 |
3.06 |
| 70th |
49 |
39 |
14 |
49 |
2 |
2 |
2.57 |
| 80th |
51 |
38 |
13 |
52 |
2 |
1 |
2.29 |
| 90th |
53 |
37 |
12 |
54 |
1 |
1 |
1.87 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
1.6 |
7.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
39 |
47 |
39 |
15 |
49 |
3 |
2 |
2.94 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
6.8 |
| 2010 |
40 |
42 |
35 |
14 |
43 |
3 |
2 |
3.06 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
6.2 |
| 2011 |
41 |
37 |
32 |
13 |
37 |
3 |
2 |
3.32 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
3.6 |
| 2012 |
42 |
34 |
29 |
12 |
33 |
2 |
1 |
3.05 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
5.7 |
| 2013 |
43 |
30 |
26 |
11 |
29 |
2 |
1 |
3.21 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
4.7 |
| 2014 |
44 |
27 |
24 |
10 |
25 |
2 |
1 |
3.38 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
3.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.