Baseball Projection.com

Jonathan Sanchez

Age: 26 Team: SFN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	7	120	112	12	55	116	6	58	54	4.05	26	26

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	91	97	49	85	13	7	5.34
20th	99	101	51	93	13	6	4.91
30th	106	104	52	101	12	6	4.50
40th	113	108	53	108	12	6	4.22
50th	120	112	55	116	12	6	4.05
60th	124	111	54	120	11	6	3.70
70th	126	112	54	124	11	5	3.64
80th	130	111	53	128	10	5	3.32
90th	134	108	51	134	8	4	2.89

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

19 1.8 8.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 120 114 55 111 13 6 4.17 1.0 1.9 8.4

2010 27 108 103 49 99 12 5 4.19 1.0 1.7 8.3

2011 28 97 94 43 88 11 5 4.27 1.0 1.4 7.6

2012 29 87 85 38 79 10 4 4.28 1.0 1.2 7.3

2013 30 78 76 35 70 9 4 4.32 1.0 1.0 6.7

2014 31 70 69 32 62 8 3 4.36 1.0 0.9 6.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
19	1.8	8.3

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	26	120	114	55	111	13	6	4.17	1.0	1.9	8.4
2010	27	108	103	49	99	12	5	4.19	1.0	1.7	8.3
2011	28	97	94	43	88	11	5	4.27	1.0	1.4	7.6
2012	29	87	85	38	79	10	4	4.28	1.0	1.2	7.3
2013	30	78	76	35	70	9	4	4.32	1.0	1.0	6.7
2014	31	70	69	32	62	8	3	4.36	1.0	0.9	6.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.