Baseball Projection.com

Clevelan Santeliz

Age: 22 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 38 42 7 31 26 2 30 28 6.63 37 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 27 38 29 16 8 3 10.33
20th 30 39 29 19 8 3 9.00
30th 32 40 30 21 7 2 8.16
40th 35 41 30 24 7 2 7.20
50th 38 42 31 26 7 2 6.63
60th 39 41 30 28 6 2 5.77
70th 41 41 30 29 6 1 5.27
80th 42 39 29 31 5 1 4.71
90th 45 38 27 34 4 0 3.80

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 38 40 31 28 6 2 6.03 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 35 35 27 26 5 2 5.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 31 32 24 24 5 2 5.86 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 28 29 21 21 4 2 5.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 26 26 19 19 4 1 5.44 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 23 24 16 17 4 1 5.73 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.