Joe Saunders
Age: 28
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 10 |
10 |
180 |
193 |
20 |
53 |
109 |
6 |
93 |
86 |
4.3 |
30 |
30 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
138 |
164 |
48 |
79 |
20 |
7 |
5.28 |
| 20th |
149 |
171 |
49 |
87 |
20 |
6 |
4.89 |
| 30th |
159 |
178 |
50 |
95 |
20 |
6 |
4.70 |
| 40th |
169 |
186 |
52 |
102 |
20 |
6 |
4.53 |
| 50th |
180 |
193 |
53 |
109 |
20 |
6 |
4.30 |
| 60th |
184 |
193 |
52 |
113 |
19 |
6 |
4.11 |
| 70th |
188 |
193 |
52 |
116 |
18 |
5 |
3.88 |
| 80th |
193 |
192 |
51 |
121 |
17 |
5 |
3.68 |
| 90th |
198 |
191 |
49 |
126 |
15 |
4 |
3.41 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 28 |
2.7 |
12.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
180 |
190 |
54 |
116 |
21 |
6 |
4.27 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
11.3 |
| 2010 |
29 |
162 |
172 |
48 |
103 |
19 |
5 |
4.28 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
11.5 |
| 2011 |
30 |
146 |
154 |
44 |
92 |
17 |
5 |
4.27 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
11.2 |
| 2012 |
31 |
131 |
139 |
40 |
81 |
15 |
4 |
4.29 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
11.2 |
| 2013 |
32 |
117 |
126 |
37 |
72 |
14 |
4 |
4.44 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
9.2 |
| 2014 |
33 |
105 |
113 |
34 |
63 |
12 |
4 |
4.43 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
9.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.