Michael Schlact
Age: 23
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
9 |
129 |
162 |
23 |
71 |
52 |
5 |
100 |
93 |
6.49 |
24 |
24 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
97 |
139 |
64 |
35 |
23 |
6 |
8.26 |
| 20th |
105 |
145 |
65 |
39 |
23 |
6 |
7.71 |
| 30th |
113 |
150 |
67 |
44 |
23 |
5 |
7.17 |
| 40th |
121 |
156 |
69 |
48 |
23 |
5 |
6.77 |
| 50th |
129 |
162 |
71 |
52 |
23 |
5 |
6.49 |
| 60th |
132 |
162 |
70 |
54 |
22 |
5 |
6.14 |
| 70th |
136 |
161 |
70 |
57 |
21 |
4 |
5.76 |
| 80th |
140 |
160 |
68 |
60 |
19 |
3 |
5.27 |
| 90th |
145 |
158 |
66 |
64 |
18 |
3 |
4.90 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
130 |
157 |
72 |
56 |
21 |
5 |
6.08 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
118 |
141 |
63 |
52 |
19 |
5 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
106 |
127 |
56 |
47 |
17 |
4 |
5.94 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
96 |
115 |
49 |
42 |
16 |
4 |
5.94 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
86 |
104 |
43 |
38 |
14 |
3 |
5.92 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
78 |
94 |
38 |
34 |
13 |
3 |
5.90 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.