Jason Schmidt
Age: 36
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
69 |
70 |
9 |
32 |
51 |
3 |
39 |
36 |
4.7 |
13 |
13 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
51 |
63 |
30 |
35 |
10 |
4 |
6.71 |
| 20th |
55 |
64 |
31 |
39 |
10 |
4 |
6.22 |
| 30th |
60 |
67 |
31 |
43 |
10 |
3 |
5.55 |
| 40th |
64 |
68 |
32 |
47 |
9 |
3 |
5.06 |
| 50th |
69 |
70 |
32 |
51 |
9 |
3 |
4.70 |
| 60th |
71 |
69 |
31 |
53 |
8 |
3 |
4.18 |
| 70th |
73 |
69 |
30 |
56 |
8 |
2 |
3.95 |
| 80th |
76 |
66 |
29 |
59 |
6 |
2 |
3.43 |
| 90th |
80 |
64 |
27 |
63 |
5 |
1 |
2.81 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
36 |
68 |
73 |
32 |
47 |
9 |
3 |
4.98 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
37 |
61 |
66 |
29 |
41 |
8 |
2 |
5.00 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
38 |
55 |
59 |
27 |
36 |
7 |
2 |
4.98 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2012 |
39 |
49 |
53 |
25 |
31 |
6 |
2 |
5.06 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
40 |
44 |
48 |
23 |
27 |
6 |
2 |
5.25 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
41 |
39 |
43 |
21 |
24 |
5 |
2 |
5.32 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.