Baseball Projection.com

Scott Schoeneweis

Age: 35 Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 48 54 5 23 32 2 29 27 5.06 64 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 35 48 22 21 6 3 7.46
20th 39 49 22 24 6 3 6.46
30th 42 51 22 27 5 2 5.79
40th 45 52 23 29 5 2 5.40
50th 48 54 23 32 5 2 5.06
60th 49 54 23 33 5 2 4.96
70th 52 53 22 35 4 1 4.15
80th 53 53 21 37 4 1 3.91
90th 55 51 20 39 3 1 3.27

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 35 49 53 23 31 5 2 4.76 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 36 44 48 21 27 4 2 4.77 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 37 39 43 19 24 4 2 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 38 35 39 17 21 3 2 4.91 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 39 31 35 16 18 3 2 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 40 28 32 15 16 3 1 5.28 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.