Baseball Projection.com

Zach Schreiber

Age: 27 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 47 46 7 29 37 2 28 26 4.98 43 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 34 42 27 25 8 3 7.68
20th 37 43 28 28 8 3 7.05
30th 41 44 28 31 7 2 5.93
40th 44 45 29 34 7 2 5.52
50th 47 46 29 37 7 2 4.98
60th 49 45 28 39 6 2 4.41
70th 51 45 28 41 6 1 4.06
80th 53 43 27 43 5 1 3.40
90th 55 42 25 46 4 1 3.11

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 47 47 29 34 7 2 5.12 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 42 43 26 31 7 2 5.39 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 38 39 23 27 6 2 5.32 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 34 35 21 24 5 1 5.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 31 32 19 22 5 1 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 28 28 17 19 4 1 5.04 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.