Zach Segovia
Age: 26
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
109 |
124 |
18 |
49 |
54 |
5 |
72 |
67 |
5.53 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
81 |
108 |
45 |
37 |
19 |
6 |
7.44 |
| 20th |
88 |
112 |
46 |
41 |
19 |
6 |
6.85 |
| 30th |
95 |
116 |
47 |
46 |
18 |
5 |
6.25 |
| 40th |
102 |
120 |
48 |
50 |
18 |
5 |
5.82 |
| 50th |
109 |
124 |
49 |
54 |
18 |
5 |
5.53 |
| 60th |
112 |
123 |
48 |
56 |
17 |
5 |
5.14 |
| 70th |
115 |
123 |
48 |
59 |
16 |
4 |
4.85 |
| 80th |
119 |
121 |
46 |
62 |
15 |
4 |
4.39 |
| 90th |
123 |
119 |
44 |
66 |
13 |
3 |
3.95 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
109 |
125 |
49 |
50 |
18 |
4 |
5.50 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
98 |
112 |
43 |
45 |
16 |
4 |
5.44 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
28 |
88 |
102 |
38 |
40 |
15 |
4 |
5.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
79 |
92 |
34 |
36 |
13 |
3 |
5.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
71 |
83 |
31 |
32 |
12 |
3 |
5.61 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
64 |
75 |
28 |
28 |
11 |
3 |
5.67 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.