Timothy Sexton
Age: 22
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
98 |
115 |
21 |
45 |
49 |
5 |
71 |
66 |
6.06 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
71 |
104 |
43 |
31 |
23 |
6 |
8.75 |
| 20th |
78 |
106 |
44 |
36 |
22 |
6 |
7.85 |
| 30th |
85 |
109 |
44 |
40 |
22 |
6 |
7.20 |
| 40th |
91 |
113 |
44 |
45 |
22 |
5 |
6.63 |
| 50th |
98 |
115 |
45 |
49 |
21 |
5 |
6.06 |
| 60th |
101 |
114 |
44 |
52 |
20 |
4 |
5.61 |
| 70th |
105 |
112 |
43 |
55 |
18 |
4 |
4.97 |
| 80th |
109 |
109 |
41 |
58 |
16 |
3 |
4.46 |
| 90th |
114 |
106 |
38 |
63 |
14 |
2 |
3.79 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
97 |
118 |
45 |
45 |
20 |
5 |
6.19 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
88 |
106 |
40 |
41 |
18 |
4 |
6.07 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
79 |
95 |
35 |
38 |
16 |
4 |
6.03 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
72 |
86 |
31 |
35 |
15 |
3 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
65 |
77 |
27 |
31 |
13 |
3 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
58 |
70 |
24 |
28 |
12 |
3 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.