Baseball Projection.com

Josh Sharpless

Age: 28 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 41 41 6 28 35 2 26 24 5.27 38 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 30 37 26 23 7 3 7.80
20th 33 38 27 26 7 2 7.09
30th 36 39 27 29 6 2 6.00
40th 39 40 27 32 6 2 5.54
50th 41 41 28 35 6 2 5.27
60th 43 40 27 37 5 2 4.60
70th 44 40 27 38 5 2 4.30
80th 46 38 26 41 4 1 3.72
90th 48 37 25 43 3 1 3.19

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 41 42 28 33 7 2 5.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 37 38 25 30 6 2 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 33 34 23 26 5 1 5.48 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 30 31 21 23 5 1 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 27 27 19 21 4 1 5.34 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 24 25 18 18 4 1 5.83 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.