Baseball Projection.com

Steven Sharpe

Age: 27 Team: OAK
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 32 4 14 13 1 19 18 6 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 29 14 8 5 2 9.00
20th 21 30 14 9 5 1 8.14
30th 23 30 14 10 4 1 7.04
40th 25 31 14 12 4 1 6.48
50th 27 32 14 13 4 1 6.00
60th 27 32 14 14 4 1 6.00
70th 29 31 13 15 3 1 4.66
80th 30 31 12 16 3 0 4.20
90th 31 29 12 17 2 0 3.48

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 27 32 14 14 4 1 5.77 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 24 29 13 13 4 1 6.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 22 26 11 11 3 1 5.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 19 24 10 10 3 1 6.32 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 17 22 9 9 3 1 6.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 15 19 9 8 2 1 6.44 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.