Ben Sheets
Age: 30
Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 9 |
7 |
148 |
151 |
15 |
36 |
109 |
3 |
68 |
63 |
3.83 |
25 |
25 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
113 |
130 |
33 |
80 |
16 |
4 |
4.86 |
| 20th |
122 |
135 |
34 |
87 |
15 |
3 |
4.50 |
| 30th |
131 |
140 |
34 |
95 |
15 |
3 |
4.19 |
| 40th |
139 |
146 |
35 |
102 |
15 |
3 |
4.01 |
| 50th |
148 |
151 |
36 |
109 |
15 |
3 |
3.83 |
| 60th |
152 |
151 |
35 |
113 |
14 |
3 |
3.61 |
| 70th |
155 |
151 |
35 |
116 |
14 |
2 |
3.48 |
| 80th |
159 |
149 |
34 |
121 |
12 |
2 |
3.17 |
| 90th |
163 |
148 |
33 |
125 |
11 |
2 |
2.98 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 30 |
2.9 |
13.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
148 |
151 |
36 |
109 |
15 |
3 |
3.82 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
13.0 |
| 2010 |
31 |
133 |
137 |
33 |
97 |
14 |
2 |
3.89 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
12.0 |
| 2011 |
32 |
120 |
123 |
30 |
86 |
12 |
2 |
3.85 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
12.2 |
| 2012 |
33 |
107 |
111 |
28 |
76 |
11 |
2 |
3.96 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
11.2 |
| 2013 |
34 |
96 |
100 |
25 |
67 |
10 |
2 |
3.99 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
11.0 |
| 2014 |
35 |
86 |
91 |
23 |
59 |
9 |
2 |
4.10 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
10.1 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.