Baseball Projection.com

Jason Smith

Age: 31 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
116	333	40	75	14	3	11	40	4	2	19	114	2	0.225	0.271	0.384	-33	3B	5.8

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-13	0	122	23	4	1	3	5	45	0	0.189	0.220	0.311
20th	-16	0	176	34	6	1	4	8	64	0	0.193	0.228	0.307
30th	-21	0	229	47	8	2	6	11	82	1	0.205	0.245	0.336
40th	-19	0	281	61	11	2	9	15	98	1	0.217	0.259	0.367
50th	-19	0	333	75	14	3	11	19	114	2	0.225	0.271	0.384
60th	-15	0	360	85	16	4	14	22	121	2	0.236	0.284	0.419
70th	-11	2	386	95	19	5	16	25	127	3	0.246	0.297	0.446
80th	-7	7	412	105	21	6	18	28	132	3	0.255	0.307	0.466
90th	1	16	437	116	24	8	21	32	137	4	0.265	0.321	0.501

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	31	333	73	14	3	10	4	2	19	114	2	0.219	0.266	0.369
2010	32	316	69	13	3	10	3	1	18	109	2	0.218	0.265	0.373
2011	33	301	64	12	2	9	3	1	17	105	1	0.213	0.257	0.355
2012	34	286	59	11	2	8	2	1	16	103	1	0.206	0.251	0.343
2013	35	271	55	10	2	8	2	1	16	98	1	0.203	0.250	0.343
2014	36	258	51	9	1	7	2	1	15	94	1	0.198	0.245	0.322

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	4	-1	5	2	4	-4	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.8	3.5
Good (+7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.