Baseball Projection.com

Benjamin Snyder

Age: 23 Team: SFN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
3	7	92	105	16	42	58	3	61	56	5.48	18	18

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	67	94	40	39	18	4	8.06
20th	74	96	40	44	17	4	7.05
30th	80	99	41	49	17	4	6.41
40th	86	103	41	53	17	3	5.97
50th	92	105	42	58	16	3	5.48
60th	94	104	41	61	15	3	5.27
70th	98	103	40	64	14	2	4.68
80th	101	100	38	68	12	2	4.10
90th	106	97	36	72	10	1	3.57

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 91 107 42 55 18 3 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4

2010 24 82 96 37 51 16 3 5.81 1.0 0.0 0.4

2011 25 74 86 33 46 14 2 5.69 1.0 0.0 0.4

2012 26 67 78 29 41 13 2 5.70 1.0 0.0 0.4

2013 27 60 70 26 37 12 2 5.76 1.0 0.0 0.4

2014 28 54 63 23 33 10 2 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
5	0.5	2.6

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	Value ($mil)
2009	23	91	107	42	55	18	3	5.88	1.0	0.4
2010	24	82	96	37	51	16	3	5.81	1.0	0.4
2011	25	74	86	33	46	14	2	5.69	1.0	0.4
2012	26	67	78	29	41	13	2	5.70	1.0	0.4
2013	27	60	70	26	37	12	2	5.76	1.0	0.4
2014	28	54	63	23	33	10	2	5.66	1.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.