Baseball Projection.com

Andy Sonnanstine

Age: 26 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
11 9 180 184 22 38 119 6 85 79 3.95 29 29

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 138 158 35 87 22 7 4.89
20th 149 165 35 95 22 6 4.59
30th 160 171 36 103 22 6 4.33
40th 170 177 37 111 22 6 4.13
50th 180 184 38 119 22 6 3.95
60th 185 184 37 123 21 6 3.75
70th 189 184 37 127 20 5 3.57
80th 194 182 36 132 19 5 3.29
90th 199 181 34 137 17 4 3.08

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
33 3.1 14.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 180 187 37 125 22 6 3.99 1.0 3.2 14.2
2010 27 162 169 33 111 20 5 4.01 1.0 2.9 13.8
2011 28 145 153 29 99 18 5 4.06 1.0 2.5 13.2
2012 29 131 138 26 88 16 4 4.03 1.0 2.3 13.4
2013 30 118 125 23 79 15 4 4.09 1.0 2.0 12.9
2014 31 105 112 22 69 13 4 4.15 1.0 1.7 12.1

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.