Rafael Soriano
Age: 29
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
2 |
43 |
36 |
4 |
15 |
45 |
2 |
17 |
16 |
3.35 |
44 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
32 |
33 |
15 |
31 |
5 |
3 |
5.06 |
| 20th |
35 |
35 |
15 |
34 |
5 |
2 |
4.63 |
| 30th |
38 |
35 |
15 |
38 |
5 |
2 |
4.26 |
| 40th |
41 |
35 |
15 |
41 |
4 |
2 |
3.51 |
| 50th |
43 |
36 |
15 |
45 |
4 |
2 |
3.35 |
| 60th |
45 |
36 |
14 |
47 |
4 |
2 |
3.00 |
| 70th |
46 |
34 |
14 |
49 |
3 |
2 |
2.54 |
| 80th |
48 |
33 |
13 |
52 |
2 |
1 |
2.06 |
| 90th |
50 |
32 |
12 |
55 |
2 |
1 |
1.80 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
43 |
37 |
15 |
42 |
4 |
2 |
3.38 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
| 2010 |
30 |
38 |
34 |
14 |
37 |
4 |
2 |
3.69 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2011 |
31 |
35 |
30 |
13 |
33 |
3 |
1 |
3.33 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
3.6 |
| 2012 |
32 |
31 |
28 |
12 |
29 |
3 |
1 |
3.66 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2013 |
33 |
28 |
25 |
11 |
26 |
3 |
1 |
3.71 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
| 2014 |
34 |
25 |
23 |
10 |
23 |
3 |
1 |
3.96 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.