Baseball Projection.com

Levale Speigner

Age: 28 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 53 58 5 21 34 2 29 27 4.58 47 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 39 51 20 23 6 3 6.69
20th 43 53 20 26 6 2 5.86
30th 47 54 20 29 5 2 4.98
40th 50 56 21 31 5 2 4.86
50th 53 58 21 34 5 2 4.58
60th 54 58 21 35 5 2 4.50
70th 56 57 20 37 4 2 3.86
80th 58 57 19 39 4 1 3.57
90th 60 55 18 41 3 1 3.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 53 58 21 32 5 2 4.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 47 53 19 28 5 2 4.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 42 48 17 25 4 2 4.86 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 38 43 16 22 4 1 4.86 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 34 39 14 20 3 1 4.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 31 35 13 17 3 1 4.80 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.