Baseball Projection.com

Craig Stammen

Age: 25 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	9	125	138	18	57	86	4	76	70	5.04	25	25

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	94	121	52	60	19	5	6.80
20th	102	125	53	67	19	5	6.18
30th	110	129	54	74	18	4	5.65
40th	117	133	56	80	18	4	5.38
50th	125	138	57	86	18	4	5.04
60th	129	137	56	89	17	4	4.74
70th	132	137	55	93	16	3	4.50
80th	137	134	54	98	14	2	4.01
90th	141	131	52	103	12	2	3.57

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

9 0.9 4.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 125 139 57 80 18 4 5.14 1.0 0.6 2.5

2010 26 112 126 50 72 16 4 5.18 1.0 0.5 2.3

2011 27 101 114 44 64 15 4 5.22 1.0 0.4 2.0

2012 28 91 103 39 57 13 3 5.15 1.0 0.4 2.2

2013 29 82 93 35 51 12 3 5.20 1.0 0.3 1.8

2014 30 73 84 32 45 11 3 5.35 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
9	0.9	4.4

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	25	125	139	57	80	18	4	5.14	1.0	0.6	2.5
2010	26	112	126	50	72	16	4	5.18	1.0	0.5	2.3
2011	27	101	114	44	64	15	4	5.22	1.0	0.4	2.0
2012	28	91	103	39	57	13	3	5.15	1.0	0.4	2.2
2013	29	82	93	35	51	12	3	5.20	1.0	0.3	1.8
2014	30	73	84	32	45	11	3	5.35	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.