Baseball Projection.com

Jason Stanford

Age: 32 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
3	6	79	89	12	35	49	4	51	47	5.35	16	16

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	59	78	32	34	13	5	7.17
20th	64	81	33	38	13	4	6.61
30th	70	83	33	42	12	4	5.79
40th	74	86	34	45	12	4	5.59
50th	79	89	35	49	12	4	5.35
60th	81	88	34	51	11	4	4.89
70th	83	89	34	53	11	3	4.77
80th	86	87	33	56	10	3	4.40
90th	89	85	32	59	8	2	3.74

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 79 89 35 46 12 4 5.33 1.0 0.2 0.8

2010 33 71 81 32 40 11 3 5.42 1.0 0.1 0.5

2011 34 64 73 29 36 10 3 5.45 1.0 0.1 0.5

2012 35 57 66 27 31 9 3 5.63 1.0 0.0 0.4

2013 36 51 59 25 28 8 2 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4

2014 37 46 53 23 24 7 2 5.61 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
5	0.5	2.6

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	32	79	89	35	46	12	4	5.33	1.0	0.2	0.8
2010	33	71	81	32	40	11	3	5.42	1.0	0.1	0.5
2011	34	64	73	29	36	10	3	5.45	1.0	0.1	0.5
2012	35	57	66	27	31	9	3	5.63	1.0	0.0	0.4
2013	36	51	59	25	28	8	2	5.62	1.0	0.0	0.4
2014	37	46	53	23	24	7	2	5.61	1.0	0.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.