Baseball Projection.com

Adam Stern

Age: 29 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
103	347	50	83	17	3	5	30	13	5	24	79	2	0.239	0.292	0.349	-31	OF	6.9

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-12	0	103	21	4	0	1	5	26	0	0.204	0.241	0.272
20th	-15	0	165	34	6	1	1	9	41	0	0.206	0.247	0.273
30th	-18	0	227	50	10	1	2	13	55	1	0.220	0.266	0.300
40th	-19	0	288	66	13	2	3	18	68	1	0.229	0.277	0.319
50th	-19	0	347	83	17	3	5	24	79	2	0.239	0.292	0.349
60th	-16	0	390	97	21	4	6	28	86	2	0.249	0.302	0.369
70th	-11	4	431	112	25	5	8	33	92	3	0.260	0.317	0.397
80th	-6	10	472	128	30	6	9	38	97	4	0.271	0.331	0.417
90th	1	19	512	144	35	8	11	44	102	5	0.281	0.344	0.445

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	29	349	84	18	3	4	13	5	22	78	2	0.241	0.290	0.344
2010	30	331	80	17	2	4	12	5	21	74	2	0.242	0.291	0.341
2011	31	314	75	16	2	4	10	4	20	70	2	0.239	0.289	0.341
2012	32	298	71	15	2	4	9	3	19	67	2	0.238	0.288	0.342
2013	33	283	65	13	2	3	7	3	19	65	1	0.230	0.281	0.322
2014	34	269	61	13	1	3	6	3	18	63	1	0.227	0.278	0.316

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	9	2	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.7	3.1
Good (+7 runs)	0.4	1.8
Average (0 runs)	0.2	0.9
Poor (-7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.