Jeffrey Stevens
Age: 25
Team: CHN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
3 |
51 |
44 |
7 |
25 |
60 |
2 |
25 |
23 |
4.06 |
44 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
37 |
40 |
24 |
42 |
8 |
3 |
6.08 |
| 20th |
41 |
41 |
24 |
47 |
8 |
2 |
5.27 |
| 30th |
44 |
42 |
24 |
51 |
7 |
2 |
4.70 |
| 40th |
47 |
43 |
25 |
55 |
7 |
2 |
4.40 |
| 50th |
51 |
44 |
25 |
60 |
7 |
2 |
4.06 |
| 60th |
52 |
43 |
24 |
63 |
6 |
2 |
3.63 |
| 70th |
54 |
43 |
24 |
65 |
6 |
1 |
3.33 |
| 80th |
56 |
41 |
23 |
68 |
5 |
1 |
2.89 |
| 90th |
58 |
39 |
22 |
72 |
4 |
1 |
2.48 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
50 |
46 |
25 |
55 |
7 |
2 |
4.32 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
45 |
41 |
22 |
50 |
6 |
2 |
4.21 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
| 2011 |
27 |
41 |
38 |
19 |
44 |
6 |
2 |
4.33 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
37 |
34 |
17 |
40 |
5 |
1 |
4.14 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
| 2013 |
29 |
33 |
31 |
15 |
35 |
5 |
1 |
4.35 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2014 |
30 |
30 |
28 |
14 |
31 |
4 |
1 |
4.24 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.