Baseball Projection.com

Jordan Stewart

Age: 25 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 38 48 8 23 18 2 32 30 7.11 37 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 27 43 22 11 9 3 10.33
20th 30 45 22 13 9 2 9.30
30th 33 46 22 15 9 2 8.45
40th 36 47 23 16 8 2 7.50
50th 38 48 23 18 8 2 7.11
60th 40 47 22 19 7 2 6.08
70th 41 47 22 21 7 1 5.71
80th 43 45 21 22 6 1 4.81
90th 45 44 19 24 5 1 4.20

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 39 46 23 20 7 2 6.20 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 35 42 20 18 7 1 6.32 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 32 38 18 16 6 1 6.15 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 29 34 16 14 5 1 5.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 26 31 14 13 5 1 6.16 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 23 28 13 11 4 1 6.26 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.