Baseball Projection.com

Sean Stidfole

Age: 25 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 56 58 8 33 36 2 35 32 5.14 51 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 41 52 31 24 9 3 7.46
20th 45 54 31 27 9 2 6.60
30th 49 54 32 30 8 2 5.69
40th 53 56 32 33 8 2 5.26
50th 56 58 33 36 8 2 5.14
60th 58 57 32 38 7 2 4.66
70th 60 57 32 40 7 2 4.50
80th 62 55 31 42 6 1 3.77
90th 65 54 29 45 5 1 3.32

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 57 57 33 38 7 2 4.79 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 51 52 29 34 7 2 4.98 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 46 47 26 30 6 2 4.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 41 43 23 27 5 1 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 37 39 20 24 5 1 5.02 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 34 35 18 22 4 1 4.75 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.