Baseball Projection.com

Drew Stubbs

Age: 24 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
121	462	64	106	24	4	7	39	17	7	48	151	3	0.229	0.306	0.344	-29	CF	6.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	19	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0.158	0.238	0.211
20th	-12	0	133	26	5	1	1	11	47	0	0.195	0.257	0.271
30th	-20	0	244	51	10	1	3	22	84	1	0.209	0.277	0.295
40th	-24	0	354	77	16	2	5	34	119	2	0.218	0.290	0.316
50th	-24	0	462	106	24	4	7	48	151	3	0.229	0.306	0.344
60th	-17	1	491	119	28	5	9	54	156	4	0.242	0.322	0.375
70th	-11	8	520	132	32	6	11	60	161	5	0.254	0.337	0.402
80th	-2	18	548	146	37	8	13	67	165	6	0.266	0.353	0.434
90th	9	30	576	160	41	10	15	74	168	7	0.278	0.367	0.462

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	464	105	23	4	6	16	7	46	153	3	0.226	0.300	0.332
2010	25	463	106	24	3	6	16	7	47	149	3	0.229	0.304	0.333
2011	26	461	107	25	3	7	16	6	49	144	3	0.232	0.310	0.345
2012	27	460	107	25	3	7	15	6	50	143	3	0.233	0.312	0.346
2013	28	459	105	24	3	7	14	6	51	143	3	0.229	0.310	0.340
2014	29	458	103	24	3	7	14	6	52	144	3	0.225	0.308	0.336

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	11	5	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.5	6.6
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.8	3.5
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	16

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.