Baseball Projection.com

Eric Stults

Age: 29 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	8	144	145	19	53	110	4	75	69	4.31	26	26

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	109	125	48	80	19	5	5.61
20th	118	130	49	88	19	5	5.19
30th	127	135	50	96	19	4	4.82
40th	135	140	52	103	19	4	4.53
50th	144	145	53	110	19	4	4.31
60th	147	145	52	114	18	4	4.16
70th	151	144	52	117	17	3	3.87
80th	155	143	51	122	16	3	3.60
90th	159	142	49	127	15	2	3.34

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

17 1.6 7.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 142 150 53 101 18 4 4.53 1.0 1.6 7.1

2010 30 127 135 49 89 16 4 4.60 1.0 1.3 6.5

2011 31 114 123 44 79 15 3 4.71 1.0 1.1 5.6

2012 32 102 110 41 70 13 3 4.73 1.0 1.0 5.6

2013 33 92 99 37 62 12 3 4.75 1.0 0.9 5.5

2014 34 83 90 34 55 11 2 4.80 1.0 0.7 4.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
17	1.6	7.4

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	29	142	150	53	101	18	4	4.53	1.0	1.6	7.1
2010	30	127	135	49	89	16	4	4.60	1.0	1.3	6.5
2011	31	114	123	44	79	15	3	4.71	1.0	1.1	5.6
2012	32	102	110	41	70	13	3	4.73	1.0	1.0	5.6
2013	33	92	99	37	62	12	3	4.75	1.0	0.9	5.5
2014	34	83	90	34	55	11	2	4.80	1.0	0.7	4.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.