Baseball Projection.com

Tanyon Sturtze

Age: 38 Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 24 27 3 12 15 1 15 14 5.25 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 17 25 12 9 4 1 9.00
20th 19 26 12 11 4 1 7.58
30th 21 26 12 12 3 1 6.43
40th 23 26 12 14 3 1 5.48
50th 24 27 12 15 3 1 5.25
60th 25 27 12 16 3 1 5.04
70th 26 26 11 17 2 1 4.15
80th 27 25 11 18 2 1 3.67
90th 29 24 10 20 1 0 2.48

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 38 24 27 12 15 3 1 5.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 39 22 25 11 13 3 1 5.41 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 40 19 23 10 11 3 1 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 41 17 20 9 10 2 1 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 42 16 18 8 9 2 1 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 43 14 16 8 8 2 0 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.