Baseball Projection.com

Drew Sutton

Age: 26 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
124	488	70	125	28	2	12	52	14	6	53	114	3	0.256	0.333	0.395	-11	2B	5.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-23	0	356	80	15	1	6	32	91	1	0.225	0.290	0.323
20th	-22	0	390	90	18	1	7	37	97	1	0.231	0.299	0.336
30th	-19	0	424	102	21	1	8	42	103	1	0.241	0.310	0.351
40th	-15	1	455	113	24	2	10	48	108	2	0.248	0.323	0.376
50th	-10	7	488	125	28	2	12	53	114	3	0.256	0.333	0.395
60th	-3	15	516	137	31	3	14	59	117	3	0.266	0.344	0.419
70th	2	22	543	148	35	3	15	64	120	4	0.273	0.354	0.431
80th	9	30	570	161	39	4	17	70	123	5	0.282	0.366	0.454
90th	17	39	597	174	43	5	20	76	126	6	0.291	0.377	0.481

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	489	124	28	2	11	14	5	52	113	3	0.254	0.329	0.387
2010	27	488	124	28	2	11	13	5	53	113	3	0.254	0.331	0.387
2011	28	487	122	28	2	11	13	5	54	112	3	0.251	0.329	0.384
2012	29	485	119	27	2	11	12	5	56	113	3	0.245	0.327	0.377
2013	30	461	113	25	2	10	11	4	54	107	2	0.245	0.327	0.373
2014	31	437	106	24	1	9	9	4	52	102	2	0.243	0.326	0.364

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	-3	-2	-7	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.6	11.4
Good (+7 runs)	2	8.8
Average (0 runs)	1.5	6.6
Poor (-7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.6	2.6

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	15
12 team AL or NL only	1	5	22

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.