Baseball Projection.com

Glenn Swanson

Age: 26 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 55 70 14 25 31 2 45 42 6.87 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 39 64 25 19 16 3 10.38
20th 44 65 25 22 15 3 8.80
30th 47 67 25 25 15 3 8.23
40th 52 68 25 28 14 2 7.10
50th 55 70 25 31 14 2 6.87
60th 57 69 24 33 13 2 6.16
70th 60 68 23 35 12 1 5.40
80th 62 65 22 38 10 1 4.65
90th 65 63 20 41 9 0 4.02

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 56 67 25 34 13 2 6.18 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 51 61 22 30 12 2 6.16 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 46 54 20 27 10 2 5.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 41 50 17 24 10 2 6.32 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 37 45 16 21 9 2 6.37 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 33 40 15 19 8 1 6.33 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.