Dennis Tankersley
Age: 30
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
9 |
117 |
141 |
21 |
52 |
69 |
5 |
83 |
77 |
5.92 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
88 |
121 |
47 |
49 |
21 |
6 |
7.57 |
| 20th |
96 |
126 |
48 |
54 |
21 |
5 |
6.94 |
| 30th |
103 |
131 |
49 |
59 |
21 |
5 |
6.55 |
| 40th |
110 |
136 |
51 |
64 |
21 |
5 |
6.22 |
| 50th |
117 |
141 |
52 |
69 |
21 |
5 |
5.92 |
| 60th |
120 |
141 |
51 |
72 |
20 |
5 |
5.63 |
| 70th |
123 |
140 |
51 |
75 |
19 |
4 |
5.27 |
| 80th |
127 |
139 |
50 |
78 |
18 |
4 |
4.89 |
| 90th |
131 |
137 |
48 |
82 |
16 |
3 |
4.47 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
116 |
142 |
52 |
64 |
21 |
5 |
6.01 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
31 |
104 |
128 |
48 |
57 |
19 |
4 |
6.08 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
32 |
94 |
115 |
44 |
50 |
17 |
4 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
33 |
84 |
104 |
40 |
45 |
15 |
3 |
6.13 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
34 |
75 |
94 |
37 |
39 |
14 |
3 |
6.33 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
35 |
67 |
85 |
34 |
34 |
13 |
3 |
6.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.