Clayton Tanner
Age: 21
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
7 |
94 |
111 |
13 |
52 |
52 |
5 |
66 |
61 |
5.84 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
68 |
99 |
49 |
34 |
15 |
6 |
8.60 |
| 20th |
75 |
102 |
50 |
38 |
15 |
6 |
7.68 |
| 30th |
81 |
105 |
50 |
43 |
14 |
6 |
6.89 |
| 40th |
88 |
108 |
51 |
48 |
14 |
5 |
6.24 |
| 50th |
94 |
111 |
52 |
52 |
13 |
5 |
5.84 |
| 60th |
97 |
110 |
51 |
55 |
12 |
4 |
5.29 |
| 70th |
100 |
109 |
50 |
58 |
11 |
4 |
4.95 |
| 80th |
104 |
106 |
48 |
62 |
9 |
3 |
4.33 |
| 90th |
108 |
104 |
45 |
66 |
7 |
2 |
3.67 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
93 |
112 |
52 |
50 |
14 |
5 |
6.03 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
84 |
100 |
46 |
46 |
13 |
5 |
5.97 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
76 |
90 |
41 |
42 |
12 |
4 |
5.91 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
69 |
80 |
36 |
39 |
10 |
4 |
5.66 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
62 |
73 |
32 |
35 |
9 |
3 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
56 |
65 |
28 |
32 |
8 |
3 |
5.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.