Baseball Projection.com

Kanekoa Texeira

Age: 23 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 47 52 7 24 32 2 30 28 5.36 42 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 33 48 24 20 9 3 8.73
20th 37 48 24 23 8 3 7.54
30th 40 50 24 26 8 2 6.75
40th 43 51 24 29 7 2 6.07
50th 47 52 24 32 7 2 5.36
60th 48 51 23 34 6 2 4.88
70th 50 50 23 36 6 1 4.32
80th 52 49 21 38 5 1 3.81
90th 55 46 20 41 3 0 2.95

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 47 51 25 34 7 2 5.28 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 42 45 22 31 6 2 5.16 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 39 40 19 28 5 2 4.74 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 35 37 17 25 5 1 4.93 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 31 33 15 23 4 1 4.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 28 30 13 20 4 1 4.96 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.