Baseball Projection.com

Scott Thorman

Age: 27 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
128	415	53	106	23	2	21	62	4	1	27	92	2	0.255	0.304	0.472	-6	1B	4.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-14	0	237	53	10	0	9	13	58	0	0.224	0.264	0.380
20th	-14	0	283	66	13	1	12	16	67	0	0.233	0.274	0.413
30th	-12	0	327	78	16	1	14	19	76	1	0.239	0.282	0.422
40th	-8	5	372	92	20	1	17	23	85	1	0.247	0.293	0.444
50th	-5	9	415	106	23	2	21	27	92	2	0.255	0.304	0.472
60th	0	15	436	115	26	2	23	30	95	2	0.264	0.314	0.491
70th	7	23	456	124	29	3	25	33	97	3	0.272	0.325	0.513
80th	12	29	477	134	32	3	28	36	99	3	0.281	0.335	0.537
90th	19	36	496	144	35	4	31	40	100	4	0.290	0.348	0.565

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	27	417	107	24	2	19	4	1	25	91	2	0.257	0.302	0.460
2010	28	416	105	23	2	19	3	1	26	91	2	0.252	0.300	0.454
2011	29	416	104	23	1	19	3	1	26	91	2	0.250	0.297	0.447
2012	30	395	98	21	1	18	3	1	25	87	2	0.248	0.296	0.443
2013	31	375	93	20	1	17	2	1	25	82	1	0.248	0.297	0.443
2014	32	356	87	19	1	16	2	1	24	79	1	0.244	0.294	0.438

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-5	--	-6	--	1	-7	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.6	7
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.8	3.5
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	2
12 team AL or NL only	1	3	18

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.