Baseball Projection.com

Chuck Tiffany

Age: 24 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 28 4 21 18 1 19 18 6 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 26 20 11 5 2 9.47
20th 21 27 20 13 5 1 8.14
30th 23 27 20 15 4 1 7.04
40th 25 27 21 16 4 1 6.48
50th 27 28 21 18 4 1 6.00
60th 27 28 21 19 4 1 6.00
70th 29 27 20 20 3 1 4.66
80th 30 26 19 22 3 0 4.20
90th 32 25 18 24 2 0 3.09

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 27 28 21 19 4 1 5.73 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 24 26 18 17 4 1 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 22 23 16 15 3 1 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 20 21 14 14 3 1 5.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 18 19 12 12 3 1 5.72 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 16 17 11 11 2 1 5.53 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.