Baseball Projection.com

Matthew Torra

Age: 25 Team: ARI

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	8	118	137	20	38	66	5	74	68	5.19	22	22

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	89	119	35	46	21	6	6.88
20th	96	123	36	51	20	6	6.38
30th	104	128	36	56	20	5	5.88
40th	111	133	37	61	20	5	5.51
50th	118	137	38	66	20	5	5.19
60th	121	136	37	69	19	5	4.98
70th	124	136	37	71	18	4	4.65
80th	128	135	35	75	17	4	4.29
90th	132	132	34	79	15	3	3.82

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

11 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 119 135 37 63 19 5 5.01 1.0 0.8 3.4

2010 26 107 122 33 57 17 4 5.01 1.0 0.7 3.2

2011 27 97 109 29 51 15 4 4.89 1.0 0.8 4.1

2012 28 87 99 26 45 14 3 4.98 1.0 0.6 3.3

2013 29 78 89 23 40 12 3 4.94 1.0 0.6 3.7

2014 30 70 80 21 36 11 3 5.00 1.0 0.5 3.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
11	1.0	4.8

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	25	119	135	37	63	19	5	5.01	1.0	0.8	3.4
2010	26	107	122	33	57	17	4	5.01	1.0	0.7	3.2
2011	27	97	109	29	51	15	4	4.89	1.0	0.8	4.1
2012	28	87	99	26	45	14	3	4.98	1.0	0.6	3.3
2013	29	78	89	23	40	12	3	4.94	1.0	0.6	3.7
2014	30	70	80	21	36	11	3	5.00	1.0	0.5	3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.