Baseball Projection.com

Carlos Torres

Age: 26 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 56 60 7 26 45 2 33 31 4.98 50 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 41 53 24 31 8 3 6.80
20th 46 54 24 35 7 2 5.87
30th 49 56 25 38 7 2 5.51
40th 52 58 25 42 7 2 5.19
50th 56 60 26 45 7 2 4.98
60th 57 60 26 47 7 2 4.74
70th 59 59 25 49 6 2 4.27
80th 61 59 24 51 6 1 3.98
90th 63 57 23 54 5 1 3.43

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 57 57 26 48 6 2 4.33 1.0 0.2 0.8
2010 27 51 51 23 43 5 2 4.28 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 28 46 47 20 38 5 2 4.43 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 29 41 42 18 34 4 2 4.39 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 30 37 38 16 30 4 2 4.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 33 35 15 27 4 1 4.72 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.