Baseball Projection.com

Joseph Torres

Age: 26 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 33 37 6 21 24 2 24 22 6 43 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 23 34 20 15 7 3 9.78
20th 26 35 20 18 7 2 8.31
30th 29 35 20 20 6 2 6.83
40th 31 36 21 22 6 2 6.39
50th 33 37 21 24 6 2 6.00
60th 34 37 20 25 6 2 5.56
70th 35 36 20 27 5 2 5.14
80th 37 34 19 29 4 1 4.14
90th 39 33 18 31 3 1 3.46

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 33 36 21 26 6 2 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 30 32 19 23 5 1 5.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 27 30 16 21 5 1 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 25 26 15 19 4 1 5.34 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 22 24 13 17 4 1 5.74 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 20 21 12 15 3 1 5.35 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.