Josh Towers
Age: 32
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
8 |
115 |
130 |
16 |
30 |
77 |
7 |
66 |
61 |
4.77 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
87 |
113 |
28 |
55 |
17 |
8 |
6.21 |
| 20th |
94 |
117 |
28 |
61 |
16 |
7 |
5.65 |
| 30th |
101 |
121 |
29 |
66 |
16 |
7 |
5.26 |
| 40th |
108 |
126 |
29 |
72 |
16 |
7 |
5.00 |
| 50th |
115 |
130 |
30 |
77 |
16 |
7 |
4.77 |
| 60th |
118 |
130 |
29 |
80 |
15 |
7 |
4.50 |
| 70th |
121 |
129 |
29 |
83 |
14 |
6 |
4.17 |
| 80th |
124 |
128 |
28 |
86 |
13 |
6 |
3.99 |
| 90th |
128 |
126 |
27 |
90 |
12 |
5 |
3.59 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 11 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
32 |
114 |
131 |
30 |
72 |
16 |
7 |
4.86 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
| 2010 |
33 |
103 |
119 |
27 |
64 |
15 |
6 |
4.91 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
| 2011 |
34 |
92 |
107 |
25 |
56 |
13 |
5 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
| 2012 |
35 |
83 |
97 |
23 |
49 |
12 |
5 |
5.02 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
36 |
74 |
87 |
21 |
44 |
11 |
4 |
5.08 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
37 |
67 |
79 |
19 |
38 |
10 |
4 |
5.12 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.