Wade Townsend
Age: 26
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 2 |
5 |
65 |
76 |
16 |
48 |
37 |
3 |
55 |
51 |
7.06 |
16 |
16 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
46 |
70 |
45 |
23 |
18 |
4 |
10.96 |
| 20th |
51 |
70 |
46 |
27 |
17 |
4 |
9.53 |
| 30th |
56 |
73 |
46 |
30 |
17 |
4 |
8.52 |
| 40th |
61 |
74 |
47 |
34 |
16 |
3 |
7.52 |
| 50th |
65 |
76 |
48 |
37 |
16 |
3 |
7.06 |
| 60th |
67 |
75 |
47 |
39 |
15 |
3 |
6.45 |
| 70th |
70 |
74 |
46 |
42 |
14 |
2 |
5.79 |
| 80th |
73 |
71 |
44 |
45 |
12 |
1 |
5.05 |
| 90th |
77 |
68 |
42 |
49 |
10 |
1 |
4.09 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
65 |
77 |
47 |
39 |
16 |
3 |
7.09 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
59 |
70 |
41 |
35 |
15 |
3 |
7.08 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
53 |
63 |
37 |
31 |
13 |
2 |
7.00 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
48 |
58 |
32 |
28 |
12 |
2 |
7.05 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
42 |
52 |
30 |
25 |
11 |
2 |
7.46 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
38 |
47 |
27 |
22 |
10 |
2 |
7.47 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.