Billy Traber
Age: 29
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
4 |
71 |
79 |
6 |
22 |
50 |
4 |
38 |
35 |
4.44 |
62 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
53 |
69 |
21 |
35 |
7 |
5 |
6.11 |
| 20th |
57 |
72 |
21 |
39 |
7 |
4 |
5.68 |
| 30th |
62 |
74 |
21 |
43 |
6 |
4 |
4.94 |
| 40th |
66 |
76 |
22 |
46 |
6 |
4 |
4.64 |
| 50th |
71 |
79 |
22 |
50 |
6 |
4 |
4.44 |
| 60th |
73 |
78 |
22 |
52 |
5 |
4 |
3.95 |
| 70th |
75 |
78 |
21 |
54 |
5 |
3 |
3.72 |
| 80th |
77 |
77 |
20 |
57 |
4 |
3 |
3.51 |
| 90th |
80 |
76 |
19 |
60 |
3 |
2 |
3.04 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
71 |
77 |
22 |
54 |
6 |
4 |
4.26 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
| 2010 |
30 |
64 |
70 |
20 |
48 |
6 |
4 |
4.39 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
31 |
57 |
62 |
19 |
43 |
5 |
4 |
4.40 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
32 |
51 |
57 |
17 |
38 |
5 |
3 |
4.59 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
33 |
46 |
51 |
16 |
33 |
4 |
3 |
4.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
34 |
41 |
47 |
14 |
29 |
4 |
3 |
4.79 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.