Koji Uehara
Age: 34
Team: BAL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
2 |
50 |
50 |
5 |
11 |
43 |
1 |
22 |
20 |
3.6 |
41 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
38 |
44 |
11 |
31 |
6 |
1 |
4.97 |
| 20th |
41 |
45 |
11 |
34 |
5 |
1 |
4.39 |
| 30th |
44 |
47 |
11 |
37 |
5 |
1 |
4.09 |
| 40th |
47 |
48 |
11 |
40 |
5 |
1 |
3.83 |
| 50th |
50 |
50 |
11 |
43 |
5 |
1 |
3.60 |
| 60th |
51 |
50 |
11 |
45 |
5 |
1 |
3.53 |
| 70th |
53 |
49 |
10 |
46 |
4 |
1 |
3.23 |
| 80th |
54 |
49 |
10 |
48 |
4 |
1 |
3.00 |
| 90th |
56 |
47 |
9 |
51 |
3 |
0 |
2.57 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
34 |
50 |
49 |
11 |
47 |
5 |
1 |
3.56 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
3.0 |
| 2010 |
35 |
45 |
44 |
10 |
42 |
4 |
1 |
3.48 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
| 2011 |
36 |
41 |
40 |
9 |
37 |
4 |
1 |
3.53 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
3.1 |
| 2012 |
37 |
36 |
37 |
8 |
32 |
4 |
1 |
3.87 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
38 |
32 |
33 |
8 |
28 |
3 |
1 |
3.85 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
39 |
29 |
30 |
7 |
25 |
3 |
1 |
3.92 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.