Baseball Projection.com

Chris Valaika

Age: 23 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
122	487	54	122	24	2	11	63	6	3	26	120	3	0.251	0.293	0.376	-27	SS	4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	20	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0.200	0.238	0.250
20th	-12	0	138	30	5	0	2	6	37	0	0.217	0.250	0.297
30th	-19	0	255	59	10	1	5	12	66	1	0.231	0.269	0.337
40th	-22	0	372	90	17	1	8	18	94	2	0.242	0.281	0.358
50th	-23	0	487	122	24	2	11	26	120	3	0.251	0.293	0.376
60th	-16	2	517	136	28	3	14	30	123	4	0.263	0.309	0.410
70th	-10	9	546	150	32	4	16	34	126	5	0.275	0.323	0.436
80th	-1	19	576	165	36	5	19	38	129	6	0.286	0.337	0.465
90th	9	30	605	181	41	6	22	42	130	7	0.299	0.352	0.496

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	23	488	121	23	2	10	6	3	25	121	3	0.248	0.289	0.365
2010	24	487	124	25	2	10	6	3	26	116	3	0.255	0.297	0.376
2011	25	486	125	25	2	10	6	3	27	113	3	0.257	0.300	0.379
2012	26	485	126	25	2	11	6	3	28	110	3	0.260	0.304	0.388
2013	27	484	125	25	2	11	6	2	29	109	3	0.258	0.304	0.386
2014	28	483	123	25	2	11	5	2	30	109	3	0.255	0.302	0.383

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	-13	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.8	7.9
Good (+7 runs)	1.3	5.7
Average (0 runs)	1	4.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0.7	3.1
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.4	1.8

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	10
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	21

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.