Baseball Projection.com

James Van Ostrand

Age: 24 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
106	401	34	97	21	2	6	55	4	1	26	83	2	0.242	0.291	0.349	-30	1B	3.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	16	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0.188	0.235	0.250
20th	-11	0	114	24	4	0	1	6	26	0	0.211	0.250	0.272
30th	-17	0	210	46	9	1	2	12	47	1	0.219	0.265	0.300
40th	-21	0	306	70	14	1	4	19	66	1	0.229	0.276	0.320
50th	-21	0	401	97	21	2	6	26	83	2	0.242	0.291	0.349
60th	-16	0	445	113	25	3	8	31	88	3	0.254	0.307	0.378
70th	-9	8	487	129	30	3	10	37	93	4	0.265	0.322	0.400
80th	-3	15	530	148	36	5	13	43	97	5	0.279	0.339	0.440
90th	7	27	571	166	42	6	15	49	100	7	0.291	0.354	0.464

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	401	96	21	2	6	3	1	26	83	2	0.239	0.289	0.347
2010	25	400	97	21	2	6	3	1	27	80	2	0.243	0.294	0.350
2011	26	399	97	22	2	6	3	1	28	78	2	0.243	0.296	0.353
2012	27	399	96	21	1	6	3	1	28	78	2	0.241	0.294	0.343
2013	28	398	95	21	1	6	3	1	29	77	2	0.239	0.294	0.342
2014	29	397	93	21	1	6	3	1	30	78	2	0.234	0.291	0.338

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-4	--	--	--	-7	-17	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.7	3.1
Good (+7 runs)	0.4	1.8
Average (0 runs)	0.2	0.9
Poor (-7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.