Baseball Projection.com

Jose Vaquedano

Age: 27 Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 48 53 6 27 29 3 31 29 5.44 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 35 47 25 19 7 4 7.97
20th 39 49 25 22 7 3 6.92
30th 42 50 26 24 6 3 6.21
40th 45 51 26 27 6 3 5.80
50th 48 53 27 29 6 3 5.44
60th 49 53 27 30 6 3 5.33
70th 51 52 26 32 5 2 4.59
80th 53 51 25 34 4 2 3.91
90th 55 49 24 36 3 2 3.44

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 48 52 27 32 6 3 5.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 43 48 24 28 6 2 5.49 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 39 43 21 25 5 2 5.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 35 39 19 22 5 2 5.49 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 32 34 18 20 4 2 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 28 32 16 17 4 2 5.77 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.