Claudio Vargas
Age: 31
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
6 |
108 |
111 |
16 |
38 |
80 |
3 |
58 |
54 |
4.5 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
81 |
97 |
35 |
57 |
17 |
4 |
6.11 |
| 20th |
88 |
100 |
36 |
63 |
16 |
4 |
5.52 |
| 30th |
95 |
104 |
36 |
69 |
16 |
3 |
5.02 |
| 40th |
101 |
108 |
37 |
74 |
16 |
3 |
4.81 |
| 50th |
108 |
111 |
38 |
80 |
16 |
3 |
4.50 |
| 60th |
111 |
110 |
37 |
83 |
15 |
3 |
4.22 |
| 70th |
113 |
110 |
37 |
86 |
15 |
2 |
4.06 |
| 80th |
117 |
108 |
36 |
90 |
13 |
2 |
3.62 |
| 90th |
121 |
107 |
34 |
94 |
12 |
1 |
3.27 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 11 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
31 |
106 |
115 |
38 |
73 |
15 |
3 |
4.74 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.2 |
| 2010 |
32 |
95 |
104 |
35 |
65 |
14 |
3 |
4.86 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
| 2011 |
33 |
86 |
93 |
32 |
57 |
12 |
3 |
4.77 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2012 |
34 |
77 |
84 |
29 |
51 |
11 |
2 |
4.82 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
| 2013 |
35 |
69 |
76 |
27 |
44 |
10 |
2 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
| 2014 |
36 |
61 |
69 |
25 |
39 |
9 |
2 |
5.17 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.