Esmerling Vasquez
Age: 25
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
98 |
103 |
16 |
67 |
70 |
7 |
68 |
63 |
5.79 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
73 |
89 |
60 |
49 |
16 |
8 |
7.64 |
| 20th |
79 |
93 |
61 |
54 |
16 |
8 |
7.06 |
| 30th |
86 |
96 |
63 |
60 |
16 |
7 |
6.38 |
| 40th |
92 |
100 |
65 |
65 |
16 |
7 |
6.07 |
| 50th |
98 |
103 |
67 |
70 |
16 |
7 |
5.79 |
| 60th |
101 |
102 |
66 |
73 |
15 |
7 |
5.35 |
| 70th |
103 |
102 |
66 |
76 |
15 |
6 |
5.16 |
| 80th |
107 |
101 |
65 |
80 |
13 |
5 |
4.63 |
| 90th |
111 |
99 |
63 |
84 |
12 |
4 |
4.14 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
98 |
102 |
66 |
67 |
15 |
7 |
5.60 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
89 |
91 |
58 |
60 |
13 |
7 |
5.41 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
27 |
80 |
83 |
51 |
54 |
12 |
6 |
5.47 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
73 |
75 |
45 |
48 |
11 |
5 |
5.35 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
| 2013 |
29 |
65 |
68 |
40 |
43 |
10 |
5 |
5.49 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
59 |
61 |
37 |
38 |
9 |
4 |
5.42 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.