Baseball Projection.com

Jonathan Venters

Age: 24 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 53 60 9 32 32 2 37 34 5.77 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 38 55 31 20 11 3 9.24
20th 41 56 31 23 10 3 8.34
30th 45 58 31 26 10 2 7.40
40th 49 58 32 29 9 2 6.43
50th 53 60 32 32 9 2 5.77
60th 55 59 31 34 8 2 5.24
70th 57 58 30 36 7 1 4.74
80th 59 56 29 39 6 1 4.12
90th 62 54 27 42 5 0 3.34

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 52 61 32 30 9 2 6.14 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 47 55 28 27 8 2 6.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 42 51 25 24 8 2 6.44 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 38 46 22 21 7 2 6.35 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 35 41 19 19 6 1 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 31 38 17 17 6 1 6.34 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.